Market #'s @ Closing Bell:
S&P: -28 to 906 (held 905 = 61.8% retracement)
DOW: -245 to 8770
NASDAQ: -53 to 1599
RUS2K: -19
TSX/S&P: -360
VIX: +5.17 to 43.73
Internals:
Core Sector List: 16/0
NYSE
BREADTH: 7.3/1
AD LINE: -1900
NASDAQ
BREADTH: 3.3/1
AD LINE: -1300
Today on the Marketbeat: Profit taking on a snowy Wednesday
Today was an interesting day, touching down on the idea I put across last night. With So much bullish internals yet no price action to back it up from Monday & Tuesdays sessions, I made the argument that we could be seeing a Bearish divergence. Sure enough today opened lower on a gap down on the major indices. The Market didn't stop at the gap either, as it quickly broke through the S1 and continued lower to break S2 and even S3, although it essentially stayed in that area after and rallied through it near the close. So what was the deal? aside from bad news on Alcoa's part (ticker symbol: AA) the big idea was profit taking as the markets were heavily overbought since last week. Now as we wait to see what tomorrow will bring, it brings me to my idea for the night tonight. With such a solid downward swing, If the markets can hold 900, and bounce back, and we see some more strength - How many solid break out candidates will be re-testing old support/resistance? Well Ive done a lil work, and Ive got a little list of some nice ideas. Long & Short.
Under the hood, the market was heavily short today, as most exchanges and sectors saw alot of the same thing, selling. The core sector list was in the red from the get-go and closed the day in the same fashion at 16/0 to the bears. The Breadth finished the day near its lows @ 7.3/1 to the bears on the NYSE and 3.3/1 on the NASDAQ. The AD Lines lost all their gains from earlier this week and closed today's session around its lows @ -1900 ticks.
Currency: Well as expected when markets go one way, the currency goes the other. And that held true today as the US dollar got taken to the woodshed again the Euro, but gained some strength against the CAD.
Ideas:
Long:
FCX, DRYS, KOL, NOV, USO, SPW: nice trend up 41-42, NAT 36 retest level, RGLD 45 support, CBRL: anticipatory entry breakout move buy 20, supp @ 18, cal: 3x touches at resistance, watch break, NST: entry 35.5, stop 34.5 - anticipatory breakout, ORH, HOTT, CAH - 34 action pt, MOO: retest for inverse h&s break. SMH
Short:
MTB: watch for retest of ~53, BBT - Zion, STI, CFR:45action pt / PNRA: H&S? - watch for confirmation: 50, PPG: at resistance after rally, rolling over tar 39, WST/ SON: channel, action pt 25, PNC: descending triangle - watch for rollover
Food for Thought 2 Use with Stocks:
Here's a lil info some of you might find helpful towards your trading
- NYSE McClellan Oscillator - overbought all week this week, finally profits being taken as market drops, coming down to +60-40
- $BPNYA - Bullish % For NYSE, doesn't hit overbought levels much and doesn't stay up there long. Above 70 = over 1000 on SPX = easy signal is reversal which results in bear alert. Stay bullish, take profits quick and watch for bear plays and signal on first sell signal on P&F.
- $cpc - CBOE options total put call ratio
look for extreme readings (bear - 1.4 / bull 0.8) use with McClellan and bullish %
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